[
  {
    "factor_id": "lentils-rhizobium-nodulation",
    "crop_id": "lentils",
    "factor": "Rhizobium leguminosarum nodulation and nitrogen fixation",
    "factor_category": "Biological inputs",
    "direction": "positive",
    "effect_type": "yield_gain",
    "effect_size": 18.0,
    "effect_unit": "%",
    "ci_lower": 12.5,
    "ci_upper": 24.0,
    "conditions": "Dual liquid/granular rhizobial inoculation on Brown and Dark Brown Chernozems.",
    "study_count": 28,
    "evidence_type": "field_trial",
    "evidence_strength": "High",
    "prairie_relevance": "high",
    "source_title": "Biological nitrogen fixation and yield response of lentil to Rhizobium leguminosarum across the northern Great Plains",
    "source_url": "https://doi.org/10.4141/cjps2006-031",
    "notes": "Supplies up to 70-80 kg N/ha of biologically fixed nitrogen, leaving positive residual soil N for subsequent wheat crops.",
    "potential_yield_effect": 18.0
  },
  {
    "factor_id": "lentils-biostimulant-biochar-humic",
    "crop_id": "lentils",
    "factor": "Biostimulants: Humic substances & biochar soil conditioning",
    "factor_category": "Biostimulants",
    "direction": "positive",
    "effect_type": "yield_gain",
    "effect_size": 11.5,
    "effect_unit": "%",
    "ci_lower": 6.5,
    "ci_upper": 16.5,
    "conditions": "Application of humic acids (3-5 kg/ha) or pyrolyzed biochar under moisture-limited semi-arid Prairie conditions.",
    "study_count": 15,
    "evidence_type": "field_trial",
    "evidence_strength": "Moderate",
    "prairie_relevance": "moderate",
    "source_title": "Biochar and humic acid amendments enhance lentil nodulation, water retention and yield under semi-arid conditions",
    "source_url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2021.105189",
    "notes": "Improves rhizosphere water-holding capacity and cation exchange capacity in coarse sandy loams.",
    "potential_yield_effect": 11.5
  },
  {
    "factor_id": "lentils-ascochyta-anthracnose",
    "crop_id": "lentils",
    "factor": "Ascochyta blight & Anthracnose foliar fungicide timing",
    "factor_category": "Disease management",
    "direction": "positive",
    "effect_type": "yield_gain",
    "effect_size": 22.5,
    "effect_unit": "%",
    "ci_lower": 15.0,
    "ci_upper": 30.0,
    "conditions": "Application of strobilurin/SDHI fungicides at 10-15 node stage prior to canopy closure under wet humid weather.",
    "study_count": 30,
    "evidence_type": "field_trial",
    "evidence_strength": "High",
    "prairie_relevance": "high",
    "source_title": "Management of anthracnose (Colletotrichum lentis) and ascochyta blight in lentil with foliar fungicides",
    "source_url": "https://doi.org/10.1080/07060660709507456",
    "notes": "Prevents stem girdling, premature defoliation, and seed staining.",
    "potential_yield_effect": 22.5
  },
  {
    "factor_id": "lentils-land-rolling",
    "crop_id": "lentils",
    "factor": "Post-seeding land rolling for harvest efficiency",
    "factor_category": "Crop establishment",
    "direction": "positive",
    "effect_type": "yield_gain",
    "effect_size": 9.5,
    "effect_unit": "%",
    "ci_lower": 5.0,
    "ci_upper": 14.0,
    "conditions": "Land rolling after seeding (up to 2-3 leaf stage on warm afternoon) to level soil and push down rocks.",
    "study_count": 16,
    "evidence_type": "field_trial",
    "evidence_strength": "High",
    "prairie_relevance": "high",
    "source_title": "Effect of land rolling timing and soil leveling on lentil harvestability and grain recovery",
    "source_url": "https://doi.org/10.4141/cjps98-011",
    "notes": "Allows combine cutter bar to operate flush with soil surface, reducing harvest pod losses by 100-200 kg/ha.",
    "potential_yield_effect": 9.5
  },
  {
    "factor_id": "lentils-waterlogging-hypoxia",
    "crop_id": "lentils",
    "factor": "Soil waterlogging and root hypoxia stress",
    "factor_category": "Stress",
    "direction": "negative",
    "effect_type": "yield_loss",
    "effect_size": -42.0,
    "effect_unit": "%",
    "ci_lower": -58.0,
    "ci_upper": -26.0,
    "conditions": "Saturated soil moisture (>48 hours standing water) during vegetative and early flowering stages.",
    "study_count": 18,
    "evidence_type": "review",
    "evidence_strength": "High",
    "prairie_relevance": "high",
    "source_title": "Responses of pulse crops to soil waterlogging: Hypoxia tolerance mechanisms and lentil vulnerability",
    "source_url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2019.105872",
    "notes": "Lentils are the most flood-sensitive pulse crop; hypoxia causes rapid root death, nitrogenase shutdown, and vascular wilting.",
    "potential_yield_effect": -42.0
  },
  {
    "factor_id": "lentils-drought-genetics-qtl",
    "crop_id": "lentils",
    "factor": "Drought tolerance genetics & early flowering cultivars",
    "factor_category": "Genetics / cultivar",
    "direction": "positive",
    "effect_type": "yield_gain",
    "effect_size": 15.8,
    "effect_unit": "%",
    "ci_lower": 10.0,
    "ci_upper": 21.5,
    "conditions": "Selecting short-season, indeterminate red/green lentil cultivars with high transpiration efficiency under semi-arid conditions.",
    "study_count": 21,
    "evidence_type": "field_trial",
    "evidence_strength": "High",
    "prairie_relevance": "high",
    "source_title": "Genetic variability and drought adaptation mechanisms in Canadian lentil breeding lines",
    "source_url": "https://doi.org/10.1002/csc2.20456",
    "notes": "Early flowering trait enables pod set prior to severe mid-summer moisture depletion.",
    "potential_yield_effect": 15.8
  },
  {
    "factor_id": "lentils-organic-large-green-red-premium",
    "crop_id": "lentils",
    "factor": "Certification & Profitability: Certified Organic red & large green lentil price premium",
    "factor_category": "Economics & Certification",
    "direction": "positive",
    "effect_type": "price_premium",
    "effect_size": 110.0,
    "effect_unit": "% premium",
    "ci_lower": 80.0,
    "ci_upper": 140.0,
    "conditions": "Certified organic large green lentils (Laird/Greenvalley) command $0.75–$1.10/lb ($45.00–$66.00/bu) and red lentils $0.55–$0.80/lb ($33.00–$48.00/bu) compared to conventional baseline of $0.32–$0.48/lb ($19.00–$29.00/bu) (+80% to +140% premium).",
    "study_count": 15,
    "evidence_type": "economic_benchmark",
    "evidence_strength": "High",
    "prairie_relevance": "high",
    "source_title": "Saskatchewan Pulse Growers & Prairie Organic Development Fund Lentil Economics",
    "source_url": "https://www.saskpulse.com/",
    "notes": "Organic lentils require excellent weed sanitation in previous rotation years (e.g. green manure plow-down). Yield discounts average 20-30%, resulting in +50% to +110% higher net returns per acre.",
    "potential_yield_effect": -25.0
  }
]